This tool was created as a subset, or supporting tool, around the modelling and calculations in the following report:

Mitigating Imported Fuel Dependency in Agricultural Production: Case study of an island nation’s vulnerability to global catastrophic risks
A major global catastrophe could disrupt trade in liquid fuels. Countries dependent on imported oil products might struggle to sustain industrial agriculture. Island nations importing 100% of refined fuels are particularly vulnerable. Our case study of New Zealand aimed to estimate the agricul…
Boyd M, Ragnarsson S, Terry S, Payne B, Wilson N. Mitigating Imported Fuel Dependency in Agricultural Production: Case study of an island nation's vulnerability to global catastrophic risks, 17 August 2023, PREPRINT (Version 1) available at Research Square []

This work is licensed under a CC BY 4.0 License

Download as of 20.08.2023:

(please note that this is still a draft version, while the paper is under review)

2023.08 -FLAgri-v1.1.xlsx

For further info:

Introduction: A Fuel and Land Agriculture Requirement Model for Food Production in NZ

or FLAgri...

What is this tool?

Welcome to the FLAgri Model for New Zealand, designed to shed light on the agricultural and logistical challenges in feeding our nation, especially in the face of crises like nuclear fallouts. This tool offers insights into the potential impact on crop yields, the logistical requirements of transportation, and the diesel needs for both farming and transporting these crops.

Why was it created?

The modern world poses unprecedented challenges to food production and distribution. Natural disasters, climate change, and potential threats like nuclear fallout can have significant impacts on how we produce and consume food. By understanding these challenges better, we can be more prepared and make informed decisions about our food and energy sources. This tool was conceived to aid that understanding, offering tangible, quantifiable insights grounded in real-world data.

How does it work?

At its core, this tool provides detailed calculations on:

  • Crop Requirements: The amount of land required to grow a certain amount of a crop.
  • Diesel Needs: The amount of diesel fuel required for farming activities and transporting these crops to where they're needed.
  • Nuclear Fallout Scenarios: Hypothetical situations where yields are impacted due to nuclear events, providing a deeper understanding of how our agricultural infrastructure might be impacted during such crises.

The tool is designed with flexibility in mind. You can:

  1. Analyze a Single Crop: Understand what it would take if NZ solely relied on a particular crop, like potatoes or dairy, to meet its food needs.
  2. Mix and Match with Customized Diets: Design a custom dietary composition for New Zealand and understand the collective needs in terms of land, transport, and energy.
  3. Delve into the World of Biofuels: Soon, you'll also be able to explore how biofuels, a sustainable energy source, can play a role in New Zealand's future.

Who is it for?

While this tool is based on comprehensive scientific research, it's been designed for everyone. Whether you're a student, policymaker, farmer, or just a curious individual, this tool breaks down complex concepts into understandable figures. If some sections feel intricate, don’t fret! We’ve provided step-by-step instructions to guide you.

In Conclusion

Feeding a nation is more than just planting crops and hoping for the best. It involves meticulous planning, understanding potential challenges, and being prepared for unforeseen circumstances. This tool is a step towards that understanding, allowing us to visualize the complexities behind feeding New Zealand. Dive in, explore, and let's chart a sustainable future together!